Wednesday, January 8, 2025

58 Out of 135 Party Lists Win Seats Based on Poll

 Ni Mortz C. Ortigoza, MPA

The House of Representatives in the 20th Congress –those whose term cover years 2025 to 2028 – will have 313 members. According to the Constitution twenty percent (20%) or 63 of the membership should come from the party-list system of registered national, regional, and sectoral parties or organizations. 


A party that got 6% or more of the total votes cast for the present 135 party lists that joined the May 12, 2025 election gets three seats while those that got 4% and 2% of the total votes get two seats and one seat, respectively.

Based on the December 12-18, 2024 poll by the Social Weather Station (SWS), it showed on the table below the top eight parties that got 13.51 percent to 2.20 percent.

It bared, too, 58 out of the 133 party lists as winners in case election was held either on the five days’ period the scientific poll was held.

These 58 parties will be holding 63 seats (20%) in the House when they assume office in June 30, 2025.

Party-list representatives are indirectly elected via a party-list election where the voter votes for the party and not for the party's nominees. If the number of sectoral representatives does not reach 20% of the total number of representatives in the House, PARTIES THAT HAVE NOT WON SEATS BUT GOT ENOUGH VOTES TO PLACE THEM AMONG THE TOP SECTORAL PARTIES ARE GIVEN A SEAT EACH UNTIL THE 63 SEATS ARE FILLED UP.

The Supreme Court decided in the 2009 ruling’s Banat versus Comelec that if the 20 percent quota has not been met, parties with less than 2% of the preferences will get one seat until quota is met.

 Here an illustration:

It means 4Ps (13.51 %) and ACT-CIS (5.63 %) in the polls last December 12-18, 2024 are allowed with three congressional seats’ cap each; and, Senior Citizens (4.42%), Duterte Youth (4.14%) and Ako Bicol (3.56%) are allowed with two congressional seats’ cap each.

Tingog (2.56%), TGP (2.48%), and Uswag-Ilonggo (2.20%) Partyl Lists allowed with one congressional seat each;

The supposed winning party lists are the following:

                                                  RANK       PERCENTAGE

 

4Ps                                                 1                      13. 51

ACT-CIS                                           2                       5.63

SENIOR CITIZEN                               3                       4.62

DUTERTE YOUTH                                4                      4.14

AKO BICOL                                        5                      3.56

TINGOG                                             6                      2.56

TGP                                                   7                      2.48

USWAG ILONGGO                               8                      2.20

MURANG KURYENTE                            9                      1.56

1 PACMAN                                          10                      1.77

FPJ PANDAY BAYANIHAN                      11                     1.73  

AGIMAT                                             12                       1.59

PBBM                                                 13                      1.55

BAYAN MUNA                                      14                      1.53

AKO BISAYA                                        15                      1.47

KABATAAN                                          16                       1.43

BUHAY                                                17                       1.40

ACT TEACHERS                                   18                       1.37

AGAP                                                 19                       1.35

EDUKASYON                                       20                      1.34

PAMILYANG MAGSASAKA                      21                       1.28

UNITED SENIOR CITIZEN                     22                       1.25

1-RIDER PARTY LIST                            23                       1.24

GABRIELA                                           24                       1.25

BATANG QUIAPO                                  25                       1.19

MALASAKIT-BAYANIHAN                       26                        1.10

ABONO                                               27                       1.07

PINOY WORKERS                                 28                       0.98

OFW                                                    29                       0.97

TUPAD                                                 30                       0.92

MAGSASAKA                                         31                      0.90

NANAY                                                 32                       0.88

AKBAYAN                                              33-34                 0.82

TULUNGAN TAYO                                   33-34                 0.82

BOSES PARTY LIST                                35 -36                0.75

LPGMA                                                  35-36                 0.75

ITAHANAN                                             37                      0.74

 AANGAT                                                38                     0.72

CIBAC                                                    39-40                0.67

KALINGA                                                 39-40               0.67

AHON MAHIRAP                                       41                    0.64

MANILA TEACHERS                                  42                    0.63

GALING SA PUSO                                     43                    0.62

AKSYON DAPAT                                        44-45               0.61

PPP                                                        44-45                 0.61

MAGBUBUKID                                          46-47                0.59

PJPWD                                                     46-47                0.59

APEC                                                       48                    0.56

SAGIP                                                      49                    0.52

SOLID NORTH                                            50                    0.50

HUGPONG FEDERAL                                    51-52               0.49

SWERTE                                                     51-52               0.49

COOP NATCO                                              53                    0.48

TRABAHO                                                   54 -55              0.46

TUTOK TO WIN                                            54-55                0.46

ANAK KALUSUGAN                                       56                     0.45

PUSONG PINOY                                            57                     0.44

 1AGILA                                                      58-59                 0.42



Below are the mathematical formulas how a seat is determined for a party list as based on the 2009 Supreme Court’s ruling:

 In the 2010 election, Ako Bicol (AKB) Political Party topped the vote by receiving 1,524,006 votes or 5.20% of the vote.

·         First round:

R1=1 since 0.0519 > = 0.021=1 since 0.0519 >=0.02 >= 0.02

·         Second round:

2=(57−12)×0.0519     R2 = (57 – 12) x 0.0519

              R2 = (45 x 0.0519

2=45×0.0519      R2 = 2.3397

Disregarding decimals, R2=22=2.33972=2

·         Both rounds:

S=1+2=3=1+2=3

·         Hence, AKB won three seats in the House of Representatives.


Akbayan Citizen’s Action Party received 1,061,947 votes or 3.62% of the vote.

·         First round:

1=1 since 0.0362 >=0.02 R1=1 since 0.362 < 0.02

·         Second round:

2=(57−12)×0.0362 R2= (57-12) x 0.0362

          R2=45 x 0.0362

          R2 = 1.6303

2=45×0.03622=1.6303Disregarding decimals,  R2 = 12=1

·         Both rounds:

S = 1 + 1 = 2=1+1=2

·         Hence, Akbayan won two seats in the House of Representatives.

Alagad received 227,281 or 0.78% of the vote.

·         First round:

R0 = 0 since 0.0078 < 0.020=0 since 0.0078 <0.02

·         Second round: At this point, 35 seats have already been awarded.

2=(57−35)×0.0078      R2 = (57 – 35) x 0.0078

               R2 = 22 x 0.0078

2=22×0.0078       R2 = 0.1706

2=0.1706Disregarding decimals, R2 = 02=0

·         Both rounds:

       S = 0 + 0 = 0=0+0=0

·         However, not all seats have been distributed. Therefore: Alagad won one seat in the House of Representatives.

A much simpler understanding of the formula is as follows:

·         The topnotcher, and on rare occasions, the 2nd placed party, gets 3 seats.

·         The other parties that got 2% or more of the valid votes gets 2 seats each

·         The next 40 or so parties get 1 seat each

The SWS face-to-face poll had 2,097 registered voters as respondents nationwide. The sampling error margins were ±2.1% for national percentages, ±5.3% for Metro Manila, ±3.0% for Balance Luzon, and ±5.2% each for the Visayas and Mindanao.

Below table with party lists’ names, ranks, and percentages highlighted with pink means they lost the election if it was held either on the seven-day period the SWS made its face-to-face scientific survey:


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MORTZ C. ORTIGOZA

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I am a more than two -decade seasoned Op-Ed Political Writer in various newspapers and blogs exposing corruptions, public officials idiocy and hypocrisies, and analyzing with diligence local and international issues. I have a master’s degree in Public Administration and professional government eligibility. I taught for a decade Political Science and Economics in universities in Metro Manila and cities of Urdaneta, Pangasinan and Dagupan. Follow me on Twitter @totoMortz or email me at totomortz@yahoo.com.


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