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The Social Weather Station have already released the Senatorial Survey results conducted on April 13-15, 2013.
The survey results showed UNA Senatorial candidates Nancy Binay and Team PNoy candidate Cynthia Villar tied at the 3rd-4th places.
A month before the mid-term elections, Binay and Villar sharing an identical 49% support from voters if elections were held during the survey date mentioned above.
The SWS stated that they have conducted the survey with a total of 1, 800 registered voters nationwide. Senatorial candidates Chiz Escudero of Team Pnoy slipped to 5th place with 47% support a percentage lower compared to his March rating at 48%.
The senator was involved in a previous controversy with his girlfriend’s parents, one of the few reasons why he goes down in survey results since he dominated the top 2 positions.
Based upon the SWS Results, a total of 9 Team PNoy candidates entered the Senate “Magic 12,” one month before the election proper in May 13, 2013.
Team PNoy Senators namely
Loren Legarda (1),
Alan Peter Cayetano (2),
Cynthia Villar (3-4),
Bam Aquino (6),
Koko Pimentel (7-8),
Sonny Angara (9),
Grace Poe (10-11)and
Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV (10-11).
Two UNA candidates, Binay (3-4) and JV Ejercito (7-8), are in the Top 10 senatorial candidates for the election.
Meanwhile, two UNA candidates, Jack Enrile and Gregorio Honasan, are tied at the 12th-13th.
SWS Survey Background
The April 2013 Pre-Election Survey was conducted from April 13-15, 2013 using face-to-face interviews of 1,800 registered voters divided into random samples of 300 each in Metro Manila, North/Central Luzon, and South Luzon, 400 in the Visayas, and 500 in Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±2% for national percentages, ±6% for Metro Manila, North/Central Luzon, and South Luzon, ±5% for Visayas, and ±4% for Mindanao).
The 2013 Commission on Elections counts of Registered Voters, by region and area, were used to weight regional estimates to obtain area estimates, and to weight area estimates to obtain national estimates.
The April 2013 Pre-Election Survey on Senatorial preferences was not commissioned, and was done on SWS's own initiative. SWS does not allow anyone to be a commissioner or to pay for the specific inclusion of this question. In this way, SWS maintains the sole right to publish the findings as a public service, with exclusive first-print right assigned to BusinessWorld.
BusinessWorld is the exclusive print partner of Social Weather Stations on its special series of monthly surveys tracking the national voter preference for Senator in the May 2013 election.
The list of candidates was in alphabetical order, and included nicknames, as practiced by the Commission on Elections (COMELEC) on election day.
Names of candidates are as officially registered with the Commission on Elections. From December 2012 to April 2013, the question was,
"Kung ang eleksyon ay gaganapin ngayon, sino ang pinakamalamang ninyong iboboto bilang mga SENADOR ng PILIPINAS? Narito ang listahan ng mga kandidato. Paki shade o itiman po ang naaangkop na oval katabi ng pangalan ng taong pinakamalamang ninyong iboboto. Maaari po kayong pumili ng hanggang 12 pangalan." ["If the elections were held today, whom would you most probably vote for as SENATORS of the PHILIPPINES? Here is a list of candidates. Please shade the oval beside the name of the persons you would most likely vote for. You can choose up to 12 names."]
The respondents were allowed to fill in their ballot in private, and then deposit it in a container brought by the interviewer. In the August 2012 survey, the list of 31 names was commissioned by BusinessWorld. The question was, "Kung ang eleksyon ay gaganapin ngayon, sino ang pinakamalamang ninyong iboboto bilang mga Senador ng Pilipinas? Narito po ang listahan ng mga pangalan ng mga kandidato. Maaari po kayong pumili ng hanggang 12 pangalan." ["If elections were to take place today, who will you most probably vote for as SENATORS of the Philippines? Here is a list of names of the candidates. You can mention up to 12 names."] The respondents gave their answers orally. SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations.